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Council for Responsible Nutrition, Washington, DC 20036
* To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: jhathcock{at}crnusa.org.
| ABSTRACT |
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| Introduction |
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Risk assessment methods
When evidence does not justify establishing a UL.
For nutrients with known adverse effects, i.e. those for which a lowest observed adverse effect level (LOAEL) or no observed adverse effect level (NOAEL) can be identified, the UL method has become internationally accepted (3). The UL method involves a few simple steps: identification of the critical effect, dose-response assessment, evaluation of uncertainty, and calculation of the UL (1).
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A common further step, often termed risk characterization, is to compare the UL to the range of intakes to determine whether some fraction of the population is at risk of adverse effects. In the reviews by the Institute of Medicine (IOM) and the European Commission Scientific Committee on Food (now European Food Safety Authority), no data were found to identify any hazards related to high intakes of thiamin, riboflavin, vitamin B-12, biotin, and pantothenic acid (4). By definition, a UL cannot be set if a NOAEL or LOAEL cannot be identified (i.e. absence of established adverse effect or hazard). To serve the advisory and potentially the policy and regulatory functions of the UL, a similar but alternative concept has been developed and defined: the observed safe level (OSL) in the peer-reviewed literature (5) and the highest observed intake (HOI) in an authoritative report (3). Like the OSL, the HOI is defined as the highest level with adequate data to reasonably exclude adverse effects. Therefore, the OSL or HOI can be used to identify the highest intake with adequate evidence of safety, but neither term should be misinterpreted to mean that a given substance is safe at all possible intakes.
New method for considering uncertainty. The usual approach to uncertainty involves identifying the highest NOAEL supported by the data and judging the strengths and extent of the available data to select a numerical UF to be used in calculating the UL. The size of the UF depends on the robustness of the data used to identify the NOAEL, the severity and persistence of the critical effect, and the strengths and amount of supporting data. The factors that affect the UF are widely accepted, but there are no specific or universally accepted criteria used to derive the exact values. Indeed, the overall UF values that have been selected and applied by the IOM to the various nutrients range from 1 to 5 for human datasets and up to 300 for animal data, with each of these being the product of several independent factors for different data characteristics (Table 1).
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Examples
In the absence of a UL: OSL or HOI. For vitamin B-12, the absence of a UL has led to the misinterpretation that there is insufficient data to evaluate the safety. This misinterpretation has occurred despite the accumulation of large amounts of human clinical data demonstrating a lack of adverse effects of oral vitamin B-12 at doses hundreds or thousands of times higher than the nutritional requirement or recommended intakes (7). Nonetheless, the absence of a UL for this vitamin has led to the proposal or implementation of unjustifiably and unnecessarily restrictive policies for maximum amounts that may be incorporated into products. For example, Germany proposed a regulatory limit of 9 µg for vitamin B-12 (8) and France implemented a limit of 3 µg in supplement products (9) even though the amounts in unfortified conventional foods can range upward of 100 µg/serving of beef liver (10). There is no apparent public health purpose of such restrictions and the regulatory actions taken by France and considered by Germany seem disproportionate and are in violation of the European Commission's guidelines in its document on the precautionary principle (11).
The OSL or HOI method allows for the examination of data and the possible conclusion that adverse effects are unlikely up to the specified intake. This approach has been used in a series of published risk assessments for several nonessential nutrients, i.e. bioactive food components, including carnitine, chondroitin sulfate, coenzyme Q10, creatine monohydrate, glucosamine, lutein, and lycopene (12–16). None of these substances have any established adverse effects, although most of them have been tested at a range of intakes in human clinical trials and some have extensive supporting animal data. This same approach has also been applied in risk assessments of taurine, L-glutamine, and L-arginine, amino acids without known specific toxic effects. The OSL risk assessment method indicates the evidence for the absence of adverse effects is strong for taurine at supplemental intakes up to 3 g/d, L-glutamine at intakes up to 14 g/d, and L-arginine at intakes up to 20 g/d (17).
Although the UK Expert Group on Vitamins and Minerals did not name the procedure, it applied the term guidance level in 2 ways, 1 of which is analogous to the OSL or HOI definitions, e.g. their 2000-µg guidance level for vitamin B-12 (7).
New approach to accounting for uncertainty. Assessing and accounting for uncertainty in the data considered in a risk assessment inevitably include qualitative scientific judgment. The UL method, as developed and applied by the IOM, also includes quantitative judgment. Consequently, the UF values chosen by the IOM for the nutrients with UL values range from 1 to 300, depending on the type of adverse effect (basis of the NOAEL), age-gender group represented, species tested, strength of study design, and replication of the results by other researchers (1,4,18–21). Values selected by the IOM for application to human adult data include, 1.0 for fluoride and manganese, 1.2 for vitamin D, 1.5 for zinc, 2.0 for pyridoxine, and 5.0 for folic acid (Table 1).
The new approach, feasible when the dataset includes clinical trials at a variety of nutrient dosage levels, is intended to avoid the seemingly arbitrary process of assigning a specific numerical value to the uncertainty. Applying this method to vitamin D (6), no credible evidence of adverse effects were reported in separate clinical trials with orally administered cholecalciferol at daily supplemental intakes of 2500 µg (22,23), 1250 µg (24), 1000 µg (25), 450 µg (26), 321 µg (27), and 250 µg (24,28), as well as in a large number of trials at lower levels (29–40) (Table 2). The designs of these trials involving daily doses >250 µg left considerable uncertainty and if the levels used were selected as the NOAEL, each would have required application of a UF > 1.0 in the calculation of the UL. The 2 trials at 250 µg were of stronger design, thereby decreasing the uncertainty, and the absence of adverse effects in other trials from 321 to 2500 µg further decreased uncertainty sufficiently to justify the selection of UF = 1.0 for application to the 250 µg NOAEL that was selected, thus yielding the recommended UL of 250 µg.
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The choice to completely rely on the human studies involving oral administration is not because we view data from animal studies as invalid or unreliable with regard to impacts on the test species. However, animal data, no matter how extensive and robust, will always carry major uncertainties to the extrapolation of a quantitative dosage limit for humans and risk assessment outcomes and these uncertainties are likely to be larger than those related to even a very modest human dataset (e.g. nickel and vanadium) (20). In some authoritative risk assessments based on animal data, the composite UF were selected in a manner that seems intended to make the outcome consistent with the evidence from a scientifically limited human clinical trial dataset, e.g. the IOM risk assessment of vitamin E (19), which applied a composite UF of 36.
We recognize the conservative nature of the exclusive reliance on human data and a method that identifies the highest intake with sufficient human data to confidently assert a high likelihood of the absence of toxicity.
The selection of a UF of 1.0 does not imply that there is no uncertainty whatsoever. Indeed, the IOM and others have applied a UF of 1.0 in many instances. No dataset, no matter how robust, can carry 0 uncertainty (i.e. 100% certainty).
Summary and conclusions
The current UL method for risk assessment is broadly accepted but suffers from 2 serious limitations. No UL is set without established toxicity and the absence of a UL has led to overly restrictive policies on regulatory limits for some nutrients. The newer OSL or HOI approach to nutrient risk assessment allows for the identification of an upper limit for nutrients for which there are ample data demonstrating safety but an absence of established toxicity at any dose. The newer method for uncertainty takes a more conservative approach to identifying possible NOAEL (or OSL) values, but, in doing so, eliminates the apparent quantitative arbitrariness of the original UL method for uncertainty.
Other articles in this supplement include references (41–51).
| FOOTNOTES |
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2 Author disclosures: J. N. Hathcock and A. Shao are employees of a trade association that represents manufacturers of dietary supplement ingredients and products. The ICAAS paid all travel expenses related to the meeting. ![]()
3 Abbreviations used: HOI, highest observed intake; IOM, Institute of Medicine; LOAEL, lowest observed adverse effect level; NOAEL, no observed adverse effect level; OSL, observed safe level; UL, tolerable upper intake level; UF, uncertainty factor. ![]()
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