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Office of Analysis, Nutrition and Evaluation, Food and Nutrition Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Alexandria, VA 22302 and a Food and Rural Economics Division, Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC 20036
| ABSTRACT |
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KEY WORDS: U.S. hunger prevalence U.S. hunger measurement U.S. food security food-security scale Rasch measurement
| INTRODUCTION |
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Hunger in the United States, although linked to poverty as a condition
reflecting inadequate resources to obtain food, does not compare in
severity to Third World hunger or poverty. Largely hidden and seldom
resulting in overt signs of malnutrition, "first-world hunger"
(Riches 1998
) requires different observational methods to detect and
measure. As early as 1984, in enquiring "How much hunger is there in
America?," the Report of the President's Task Force on Food
Assistance emphasized the distinction between "hunger as medically
defined" and "hunger as commonly defined." The latter, social
concept of hunger was viewed by the Task Force as relevant to
contemporary U.S. experience in a way that severe, prolonged food
deprivation and malnutrition are not: In this sense of the term,
hunger can be said to be present even when there are no clinical
symptoms of deprivation, a situation in which someone cannot obtain an
adequate amount of food, even if the shortage is not prolonged enough
to cause health problems, the experience of being unsatisfied, of not
getting enough to eat. It is easy to think of examples of
this kind of hunger: children who sometimes are sent to bed hungry
because their parents find it impossible to provide for them; parents,
especially mothers, who sometimes forego food so that their families
may eat; the homeless who must depend on the largess of charity or who
are forced to scavenge for food or beg; and people who do not eat
properly in order that they save money to pay rent, utilities and other
bills (Report of the President's Task Force on Food Assistance
1984
).
The 1984 Report thus identified the nature of poverty-related hunger
relevant to U.S. conditions and policy concerns and suggested that food
sufficiency to fully meet basic needs is broader than simply the
avoidance of hunger. Although the term was not used in the report, this
is the concept now recognized as food security: assured access at all
times to enough food for an active healthy life (World Bank 1986
et
seq: Cohen and Burt 1989
, Leidenfrost 1993
, Life Science Research
Office 1990
, Margen and Neuhauser 1987 and 1989
, Maxwell and
Frankenburger 1992
). Finally, the Report noted the absence at that time
of any agreed-upon measure or method of estimating the extent of
domestic hungeror its broader condition, food insecurityin this
socially defined meaning.
| OBJECTIVES AND PROCESS IN DEVELOPING THE NEW MEASURE |
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It was apparent early on that the elements for creating a national
measure of food insecurity and hunger already existed, developed within
the nutrition community over the preceding decade. Two major
contributions stood out, the work of the Community Childhood Hunger
Identification Project (CCHIP), sponsored by the advocacy organization
Food Research and Action Center (FRAC), and the research program
carried out at Cornell University Division of Nutritional Sciences.
CCHIP had developed, tested and validated a measurement instrument for
hunger and risk of hunger among children of low income families. The
project eventually coordinated more than 20 local, regional and
state-level standardized sample surveys throughout the country over the
period 19851995 (FRAC 1991
and 1995
, Wehler 1989
, Wehler et al. 1992
).
The Cornell work developed several different food-security scales at
both household and individual levels through an explicit
grounded-research approach and detailed examination of several of the
dimensions of food insecurity. It clarified and documented the
conceptual basis of the approach and confirmed the value of
self-reported survey data in this use (Campbell 1991
, Radimer 1990
,
Radimer et al. 1990 and 1992
). Subsequent work validated the Cornell
measures (Frongillo et al. 1997
, Kendall et al. 1995 and 1996
).
Two other sources contributed key insights into the nature of the
phenomenon to be measured. One was the authoritative 1990 report of the
Life Sciences Research Office (LSRO) of the Federation of American
Societies for Experimental Biology, Core Indicators of Nutritional
State for Hard-to-Measure Populations. The other was the economic
analysis by Basiotis (1992)
of the validity of the self-reported
household food-sufficiency indicator included in all recent USDA food
consumption surveys, completed in 1983 and known within USDA but not
published until 1992.
The conceptual basis of the new measure and the working hypotheses
guiding its development contained three key elements, the first two
expressed in LSRO (1990)
and the third in Basiotis (1992)
. From LSRO
came a focus on the direct physical experience of hunger, "the
painful or uneasy sensation caused by a lack of food," qualified only
as resulting from insufficient resources to obtain food. Second, LSRO
located this direct experience of resource-constrained hunger as "a
potential, although not necessary, consequence of food insecurity,"
i.e., as a relatively severe manifestation of the broader,
poverty-linked condition of food insufficiency experienced relative to
need.
The third key element provides the general framework linking the other
two. It recognizes the experience of food insecurity and hunger as a
sequence of stages reflecting increasingly severe deprivation of basic
food need and characterized by a managed process of decision making and
behavior in response to increasingly constrained household resources
(Bickel et al. 1996
, Rose et al. 1995
). This is the "economic"
perspective, in which the experience of resource inadequacy to fully
meet basic needs and the pattern of chosen behavioral responses
revealed by the household in seeking to cope with this constraint on
diets exemplify individual and household economizing decisions and
behavior generally. From this perspective, food insecurity may be seen
as varying through a range of severity levels and thus quantifiable in
the dimension of the degree of basic need deprivation
experienced.6The phenomenon, although intrinsically multidimensional, also is
measurable by a unidimensional scale of severity. This insight into
measurement of the economic-behavioral aspect of the phenomenon is
nicely captured in the metaphorical phrase "hunger is a managed
process" (Radimer 1990
).
Given the degree of understanding and practical experience already
achieved and reflected in the research described, the appropriate
government role at this stage was to synthesize and build upon the
available work and to help bring into sharper focus the consensus that
was emerging within the nutrition community. To this end, FNS and NCHS
convened a 2-day working Conference on Food Security Measurement and
Research in January 1994 (USDA 1995
), bringing together leading experts
in the field and seeking their active advice and participation in the
project. This collaboration was particularly valuable in the critical
next stage: selecting the best available operational forms, i.e., the
specific questionnaire items, to provide comprehensive potential
indicator variables for all levels of severity of food insecurity and
hunger throughout the full range of severity observed in U.S.
conditions and suggested by the recent literature.
As working material for the conference, the interagency group developed
a draft questionnaire incorporating a large set of indicator items
drawn largely from the CCHIP and Cornell work. Some 30 workshop
participants critically assessed and reworked this draft, providing
continuing advice and assistance throughout 1994. The revised
questionnaire was given to the U.S. Bureau of the Census Center for
Survey Methods Research for cognitive evaluation, pilot testing and
recommendation of further revisions (Singer and Hess 1994
).
Simultaneously, FNS engaged the Cornell Division of Nutritional
Sciences team and CAW and Associates, the CCHIP technical team, to
provide analytic work based on their respective food-security data
sets. Each group had collected data containing both the main Radimer
and CCHIP indicator items, plus the established food-sufficiency
question used in USDA surveys since 1977. These two data sets thus
offered a unique resource for testing the feasibility of a unified
survey instrument incorporating both types of indicators. Through
adapting and coordinating the analytic results and recommendations
received (Anderson et al. 1995
, Ohlson et al. 1995
, Scott et al. 1995
,
Wehler et al. 1995
) and the survey-method recommendations from the
Census Bureau, a finished questionnaire was completed for fielding by
the Bureau as a supplement to the regular Current Population Survey
(CPS) in April 1995.
The use of the CPS for collecting regular national data on food security offers unusual strengths, including: large sample size at moderate cost; exemplary sample design, data collection and quality-control procedures; assured consistency and regularity of collection; and a high level of competency in all operations. The April 1995 CPS produced detailed food-security, food-expenditure and food program-participation data for a nationally representative sample of 44,730 households.7Supplement nonresponse was 16.7% of households completing the CPS basic questionnaire, which in turn had nonresponse of 7.1% of the underlying sample. Item nonresponse occurred in 274 cases, of which 83 were deemed deficient enough to drop from analysis. Subsequent rounds of food security data were collected in September 1996, April 1997 and August 1998. Current plans are for USDA to sponsor collection of comparable food-security data by the Census Bureau annually, alternating between the April and September CPS.
| DEVELOPING THE STATISTICAL MEASUREMENT MODEL |
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Standard linear and nonlinear factor-analysis techniques were first applied in a systematic examination of the 1995 data. Nonlinear modeling showed that, with one major exception, nearly all indicators fit a unidimensional measurement scale. A few items failed to meet goodness-of-fit criteria and were dropped. However, one general type of item also did not fit the model, i.e., indicators of coping strategies that a food-insecure or at-risk household might use to improve its food supply from emergency sources, such as obtaining food from a food bank or borrowing money for food. Such coping items correlate with measured food insecurity and are useful coincident indicators; however, since households do not all face the same set of options for coping with an inadequate food supply, it is understandable that such indicators are not captured by the unidimensional measurement model fitted to the data.
Once it was established that a core set of food security and hunger
items could be scaled along a single dimension, subsequent analyses
used the Rasch model, the most basic form within the general class of
item-response-theory (IRT) statistical scaling models. Rasch
measurement fits the type of phenomenon that varies through some range
of intensity, with each discrete level identified by one or more
dichotomous indicator variables. It provides a true measure in the
sense that the intervals between items as well as their order are
meaningful (Wright 1977 and 1983
, Wright and Linacre 1989
). The model
was fitted independently to data subsets including households with
children (
17 y of age), those with elderly members (
60 y of age)
but no children, and households with neither elderly nor children.
Analysis showed that a single Rasch scale, with strong statistical
properties and good fit to the data, was robust across these three
household types (Hamilton et al. 1997a and 1997b
). Research is required
to test the fit of this national baseline scale for diverse population
subgroups. Preliminary work by Derrickson (1998)
in cognitive testing
of the scale in focus groups of Samoan, Philippino and native Hawaiian
populations is promising in this regard.
The 18 scale items are shown in abbreviated form in Table 1 ,numbered as in CPS but ordered by severity level as determined by the overall pattern of response to these items by the sampled households. The least severe items, both conceptually and in response frequency (Q53 and Q54), ask if the respondent has worried about or experienced a situation within the past 12 mo in which household food was running out and there was no money to buy more. Subsequent items indicate experiences or perceptions of inadequate food intake in terms of both quality and quantity (Q32, Q55, Q56, Q57 and Q58) and fall in the low-to-intermediate range of severity measured by the scale. Items indicating reduced food intakes and hunger for adults (Q24, Q25, Q35 and Q38) fall in the intermediate range, and those indicating reduced food intakes and hunger for children (Q40, Q43, Q44, Q47 and Q50) or more severe hunger for adults (Q28 and Q29) fall, both conceptually and in response pattern, at the severe end of the measured range.
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| DEVELOPING THE CATEGORICAL VARIABLE FOR PREVALENCE ESTIMATES |
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FNS worked with Abt and other collaborators to develop the categorical measure, which then was used to classify households by food security status. In contrast to the underlying scale estimation, which is fully determined by the measurement model and the data, locating the designated category boundaries on the scale involved judgment concerning how many indications of a given severity range should be present and over how wide a range of severity they should be observed. Determining the initial threshold of each designated severity range was done by identifying the second or third item in sequence that, conceptually, indicates the conditions characterizing the category, i.e., food insecurity without evidence of hunger (severity level 1), with evidence of adult hunger during the period (level 2), or with evidence of child and/or severe adult hunger sometime during the period (level 3).
The four status categories are illustrated in Table 1
. Households were
classified as food secure if the respondent answered affirmatively to
<3 of the 18 questions, whereas three or more positive responses
placed the household in the food-insecure
range.8For households with children (and 18 relevant scale items), those with
37 positive answers were classified food insecure without hunger,
those with 812 as food insecure with moderate hunger, and those with
13 as food insecure with severe hunger.
The operational rule of thumb described above, identifying the second or third item in sequence of severity within each broad, conceptually designated severity range to serve as the initial or "threshold item" for the range, may be considered an element of methodological conservatism in locating the category boundaries. A household is classified into one of the designated categories only upon answering at least two or three of the items directly reflecting the conceptual basis of the category, in addition to all of the less severe items. Figure 1 illustrates the contrasting patterns of item response among the four household groups, the patterns that determine each household's classification. The proportion of affirmative responses to each scale item is projected for each group separately onto the vertical axis.
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| SUMMARY OF PRINCIPAL FINDINGS FROM THE 1995 CPS DATA |
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In fitting the Rasch model to the CPS data, various reliability
statistics were calculated and found to be within accepted ranges. A
discussion of potential sources of error in the measure is presented in
Abt's Summary Report (Hamilton et al. 1997a
) and a more extensive
treatment is provided in the Technical Report (Hamilton et al. 1997b
).
On the basis of three traditional measures of reliability
(Spearman-Brown and Rulon's split-half reliability estimates and
Cronbach's
), the estimated reliability values ranged from 0.86 to
0.93 for the 12-mo scale. [An additional truncated scale on a 30-d
basis also is described in Hamilton (1997b)
.] Because the distribution
of household scale scores is highly skewed (56.5% of households
passing the income and food-security screener had zero score), a
dichotomized split-half test also was performed, collapsing the
split-half scales into the dichotomous variable "answered all
questions negatively" and "answered one or more questions
affirmatively." On this test, the level of agreement between paired
subscales was 84.8 and 85.8% for households with and without children,
respectively. The corresponding
statistic, showing the extent of
agreement beyond mere chance, was 0.70 and 0.69 for the respective
household types.
Item-response stability measures for individual items on the scale and
for the overall scale were judged to be acceptable by the Census Bureau
using data from 1100 quality control reinterviews conducted in the week
after the regular April 1995 survey (McGuinness 1997
). In this analysis
of response variance, 17% of the continuous-variable and 9% of the
categorical questions with enough cases to be analyzed exhibited
"low" variance, 75 and 68% showed "moderate" variance, and 8
and 24% showed "high" variance, respectively. Thus, 7692% of
the two question types exhibited low-to-moderate response variance,
whereas the food-insecurity scale overall showed moderate response
variance. The author noted, "(t)his distribution is typical of
response variance results for household surveys" (McGuinness 1997
).
The observed sequence and intervals among scaled items reflect the underlying commonality of response to the set of indicators among otherwise diverse households. Households with responses exactly matching the predominant pattern were termed "modal." Within this group, households answering positively to any given scale item also answered affirmatively to all less severe items. For the entire CPS sample, 68% of households with children and 82% of those without children (76% overall) were modal in this sense. For the subset of households with at least one positive response, smaller proportions fit the modal pattern, i.e., 32 and 48% of households with and without children, respectively. The response patterns among nonmodal households tend to cluster near the predominant pattern, as indicated by the acceptable levels of fit statistics observed in fitting the Rasch model to the data.
Findings on prevalence of food insecurity and hunger.
By classifying survey responses according to food-security status and applying household weights provided by the Census Bureau, Abt used the supplement data to estimate the prevalence of food insecurity and hunger in U.S. households for the 12 mo preceding the 1995 survey. As illustrated in Figure 2 , the large majority of American households (88%) were found to be food secure in the year ending April 1995.
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As can be seen in Table 2 ,household food insecurity is more prevalent among African-American and Hispanic households (almost twice the levels for non-Hispanic whites), households with children, households under the poverty level and households in central-city metropolitan areas.
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The number of individuals affected by hunger is not easily extrapolated
from these estimates. Because the data were collected in a household
survey, homeless persons are not included. Moreover, for many
households, i.e., those with more than one adult or with more than one
child, the structure of the questionnaire does not enable the
food-security status of each adult or each child in the household to be
determined. An upper-bound estimate of the number of individuals
experiencing resource-constrained hunger during the period is given by
the total population living in households classified into the two most
severe food-insecurity categories. This was 11.2 million persons in
1995, including 6.9 million adults and 4.3 million children. Further
detail on household and individual estimates for 1995 is provided in
Hamilton et al. (1997a)
.
| NEXT STEPS IN FOOD SECURITY MEASUREMENT AND RESEARCH |
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The same food security module is included in the Census Bureau's Survey of Program Dynamics, a lower-income 5-year panel survey beginning in 1999, and the Early Childhood Longitudinal Study being conducted by the National Center for Educational Statistics of the U.S. Department of Education. The University of Michigan Panel Survey of Income Dynamics (PSID) included the food security module in a Child Development Supplement in 1997 and is considering implementation in the core PSID in 1999. FNS has collected data on food security and household food use in a national sample of food stamp participants and other low income households.
As these data sets emerge, researchers will expand beyond the basic
monitoring function to explore causation and consequences of food
insecurity and hunger at the levels experienced and observed in the
U.S. The work of Tarasuk et al. (1998)
, which found significant
associations between nutrient intakes and household food security
status in a sample of low income Canadian women, is the first research
of this kind using the new scale. However, recent results from other
self-reported measures of food insufficiency, similar to the
food-security scale, also suggest significant associations between food
insufficiency and nutritional and health effects (Kleinman et al. 1998
,
Murphy et al. 1998
, Rose and Oliveira 1997a and 1997b
). The
relationships among the several different measures of self-reported
food insufficiency now available also must be assessed, e.g., Alaimo
and colleagues (1998)
report food-insufficiency prevalence estimates
from NHANES 3.
The greater precision and completeness provided by the food-security scale, however, may prove it to be an even stronger tool for examining these areas. It may be of particular interest to researchers concerned with detecting the subtler kinds of health and developmental effects that may occur from food deprivation at the levels and in the ways that are primarily relevant in the U.S. and other wealthy countries, especially as these affect children, the elderly and other high risk groups.
| FOOTNOTES |
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1 Presented at the symposium "Advances in
Measuring Food Insecurity and Hunger in the U.S." as part of
Experimental Biology 98, April 1822, 1998, San Francisco, CA. The
symposium was sponsored by the American Society for Nutritional
Sciences. Published as a supplement to The Journal of
Nutrition. Guest editor for the symposium publication was
Christine M. Olson, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY. ![]()
2 Margaret Andrews was formerly on the staff of
the FNS Office of Analysis and Evaluation, and a member of the team
that had lead responsibility for the food-security measurement project
during the period reported here. Other members were Gary Bickel,
Sharron Cristofar and Bruce Klein, under the general direction of
Steven Carlson. ![]()
3 Abbreviations used: CCHIP, Community Childhood
Hunger Identification Project; CPS, Current Population Survey; CSFII,
Continuing Survey of Food Intakes by Individuals; FNS, Food and
Nutrition Service; FRAC, Food Research and Action Center; IRT,
item-response-theory; LSRO, Life Sciences Research Office; NCHS,
National Center for Health Statistics; NHANES, National Health and
Nutrition Examination Survey; NNMRRP, National Nutrition Monitoring and
Related Research Program; PSID, Panel Survey of Income Dynamics;
SLAITS, State and Local Area Integrated Telephone Survey. ![]()
4 The name of the agency from 1993 to 1997 was
Food and Consumer Service (FCS). ![]()
5 This measurement construct is applicable, in
principle, across a wider range of severity than that observed in the
U.S. or other wealthy countries. Development of a universal scale of
food-insecurity/hunger severity, diversified as needed for cognitive
variation across cultures, would enable more meaningful comparisons
than those now possible of severity and prevalence of food deprivation
relative to need on a common basis across countries at widely differing
stages of development and income. For the relevance of this form of
food-security scale in a Third World setting, see Maxwell (1995)
. ![]()
6 The April 1995 CPS Food Security Supplement data
available on the Census Bureau web site (http://www. Bls. Census.
Gov/cps/cpsmain. Htm) include a total sample of 44,647 households.
Among 18,453 households that passed the food-security screener, 191
showed some level of item nonresponse. Among these, 83 answered fewer
than half of the food-security/hunger items and thus were deemed survey
noncompletions and deleted from the analysis sample (n = 18,370). The data file includes survey weights developed by the
Census Bureau to adjust for survey nonresponse in the April 1995 basic
CPS and Supplement combined. ![]()
7 Two groups of households were classified as food
secure on the basis of zero scale scores, i.e., higher income
households (>185% of poverty line) screened from the food-security
portion of the Supplement on the basis of consistent negative responses
to three broad food-security screening questions, and households at any
income level that passed the screener but then gave no affirmative
response to any scale item. Households with missing responses received
computed scale scores, adjusted to reflect the severity of the missing
items(s); these diverge slightly from the 19 discrete scale scores
(including zero) of households with children and complete responses, or
from the 11 discrete scores of households without children and with
complete responses. ![]()
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